ESTIMATION OF DEMAND FUNCTIONS FOR EGYPTIAN EXPORTS OF GRAPES USING THE MARKET PARTICIPATION MODEL | ||
| Fayoum Journal of Agricultural Research and Development | ||
| Article 23, Volume 32, Issue 2, July 2018, Pages 152-165 PDF (3.05 M) | ||
| Document Type: Research articles. | ||
| DOI: 10.21608/fjard.2018.191225 | ||
| Authors | ||
| Mohamed Hassan Ahmed Rabie; Amina Amin Kotop Moustafa | ||
| Abstract | ||
| The main objective of this research is to try to improve the competitiveness and increase export efficiency of Egyptian grapes exports during the period (0222-0248). To achieve this objective, the following subobjectives were studied: 4- Studying the relative importance of grape exports for fruit exports, agricultural exports, 0 - The study of the development of the quantity, value and export prices of grape exports, 5 - Measuring the indicators of the export efficiency of Egyptian exports of grapes, (Efficiency of the performance of export operations - The degree of economic openness - The coefficient of comparative advantage phenomenon - Instability coefficient - Gini coefficient of quantity and value of exports to (1) Estimating the external demand for Egyptian grape exports using the market participation model. The research relied on the published and unpublished secondary data issued by the Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics, the computer database of the system, Agriculture, the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), foreign trade publications, and some previous studies in this field. To achieve the objectives of the research, statistical, economic and statistical methods of analysis were used by estimating general trend patterns Linear model for each of the cultivated area, production and productivity, quantity and value and export prices, and adopted economic analysis at the expense of some indicators which the most important of the instability coefficient, the calculation of the concentration geographical coefficient (Gini) coefficient, was used as a form of market participation to estimate the demand for grape exports function. The main findings of the study were: The percentage of Egypt's exports of grapes from fruit exports continued to rise. The relative importance of this period reached about 402031. The lowest value of the relative importance in 0224 was 22091. The percentage of Egypt's exports of grapes for agricultural exports increased continuously. The relative importance of this period was about 12901. The relative importance of this year was 22081. The relative importance in 0229 was 402811. Also, the percentage of Egypt's exports of grapes for total exports in Irvine The relative importance of this period was about 2191. The lowest value for the relative importance in 0224 was 22251 and the relative importance of 0248 was 424981. The estimation of export efficiency indicators for grapes during the study period shows that the degree of economic openness The efficiency of export operations for grapes was estimated at 22231 for the average period, and the maximum efficiency rate in 0228 was estimated at about 2242821, while the percentage of the grapes was 2228791 for the average period, reaching a maximum of 2204901 in 0228, While the lowest rate of efficiency in 0222 was estimated at about 2222401, and it turned out that Mato The coefficient of competitiveness of Egyptian exports of grapes during the study period was 1245 and its value ranged between a minimum of 0241 in 0240 and a maximum of 0248 in 0248. The results of the estimation of the demand function using the market participation model showed that the value of the regression coefficient The estimated model for the State of Kuwait and Italy of the UAE was -42425, - 22491, -22405. This confirms an inverse relationship between the relative price of imports and the market share of grapes. This is consistent with the economic theory. The price elasticity of the same countries is -2254, -2241, 2248 (Inelastic demand), ie, the higher the relative price of exports, the lower the In the market share of grape exports. This means that there is a possibility of increasing the export price of Kuwait, Italy and the UAE, thus increasing the export yield of grapes, while the results in the same table showed that the regression coefficient in the estimated model for the UK and Belgium was 22421, 22103 This confirms the existence of a positive relationship between the relative price of imports and the market share of grapes, which may be due to the non-saturation of the markets of the grapes and the increase in domestic demand | ||
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