An Economic Study of the impact of economic growth on the use of land and water resources in the Egyptian agricultural sector | ||
| Egyptian Journal of Agricultural Research | ||
| Article 9, Volume 99, Issue 3, September 2021, Pages 335-353 PDF (782.83 K) | ||
| Document Type: Original Article | ||
| DOI: 10.21608/ejar.2021.92413.1138 | ||
| Author | ||
| Amal A. Saleh* | ||
| Land and Water Research Department, Agricultural Economics Research Institute, Agricultural Research Center, Giza, Egypt | ||
| Abstract | ||
| The research aims to analyze and measure the impact of economic growth on the long-term uses of land and water resource in the agricultural sector through two basic hypotheses, there are an integrated relationship between economic growth represented by the real gross domestic product (GDP) and the agricultural land resource, and water resource represented by water quantity used in the agricultural sector, using ARDL model The long-term elasticities indicate that10% increase in GDP leads to 2.9% increase in the total cultivated land. While increase in the real GDP square by10%, cultivated land decreases by about 1.6%. The short-term elasticities indicate that 10% increase in GDP leads to 1.8% increase in the cultivated land. While increase in the real GDP square by10%, farmland decreases by about 1.3%. The long-term elasticities indicate that 10% increase in GDP leads to 2.4% increase in water quantity. While increase in the real GDP square by 10%, water quantity decreases by about 3.6%. The short-term elasticities indicate that 10% increase in GDP leads to 1.5% increase in water quantity. While increase in the real GDP square by10%, water quantity used in the agricultural sector decreases by about 5.4%. There is an inverted U-shaped relationship between GDP and each of the cultivated area and the amount of water consumed in the agricultural sector, which means that each of them increases as the GDP increases until it reaches the turning point, then declines again, and this agrees with the assumptions of the environmental Kuznets curve | ||
| Keywords | ||
| Economic growth; cultivated area; water consumed in the agricultural sector Kuznets curve; Autoregressive Distributed Lag model | ||
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