The causality relationship between the Budget Deficit and Inflation in Egypt during the period (1991-2021)

علي, علياء طلعت محمود; عطية, جمال محمود; عمارة, أميرة محمد

doi:10.21608/jsst.2023.181931.1532

	The causality relationship between the Budget Deficit and Inflation in Egypt during the period (1991-2021)
مجلة البحوث المالية والتجارية
Article 3, Volume 24, Issue 1 - Serial Number 3, January 2023, Pages 72-112 PDF (506.52 K)
Document Type: المقالة الأصلية
DOI: 10.21608/jsst.2023.181931.1532
Authors
علياء طلعت محمود علي^* ¹; جمال محمود عطية²; أميرة محمد عمارة³
¹معيدة بقسم الاقتصاد كلية الاقتصاد والادارة جامعة ٦ أكتوبر
²أستاذ ورئيس قسم الاقتصاد والتجارة الخارجية الأسبق، كلية التجارة وإدارة الأعمال، جامعة حلوان.
³أستاذ بقسم الاقتصاد والتجارة الخارجية، كلية التجارة وإدارة الأعمال، جامعة حلوان.
Abstract
Abstract of the study: The research aims to test the causality relationship between the budget deficit and inflation in Egypt during the period from 1991 to 2021 using Granger causality test and error correction model. The results showed a two-way relationship between budget deficit and inflation, the study recommended the need to rationalize spending Government by eliminating corruption associated with it. Trying to exploit internal and external loans in investment projects instead of using them for consumption with the aim of raising the level of domestic product and national income. Increasing direct and indirect tax revenues to reduce the budget deficit. Stabilizing the price of the pound in the long term through increasing production capacity, increasing exports. Rationalizing governmental spending by eliminating corruption related to public finance. Raising the efficiency of the tax system in mobilizing financial resources by combating the phenomenon of evasion. Key words: Budget Deficit – Inflation – Egypt.
Keywords
Budget Deficit; Inflation; Egypt

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