دراسة تأثير الدعم الزراعي العالمي الأخضر علي الناتج المحلي الزراعي للدول النامية باستخدام نموذج الانحدار الذاتي للإبطاءات الموزعة ARDL Model Studying the effect of the green global agricultural subsidy on the agricultural domestic product of developing countries using the ARDL model. | ||
| Menoufia Journal of Agricultural Economic and Social Sciences | ||
| Articles in Press, Accepted Manuscript, Available Online from 07 February 2023 | ||
| Document Type: Original Article | ||
| DOI: 10.21608/mjabes.2022.141367.1021 | ||
| Author | ||
| Mohammad Gamal Al-Okl* | ||
| Agricultural Economics, Agriculture, Menofia Uviversity, Shibbin Al-Kom, Menofia Governorate, Egypt | ||
| Abstract | ||
| The member countries of the World Trade Organization still vary among themselves in reduction rates of agricultural support in despite of the agreed timetables. Also, developed countries are still the highest in the world in terms of support for their agricultural sectors compared to developing countries, The research deals with studying the impact of green support (support for services, infrastructure, education and training) adopted by developed countries on the agricultural domestic product of developing countries using the ARDL Model. The results showed that optimal model for the autoregressive distributed lags, which was estimated, was of the order ARDL(1, 2), which means that the value of agricultural domestic product in the last year at the level (without difference) affects itself as a dependent variable. The results of the error correction equation indicated that the estimated error correction coefficient was significant and negative, which confirms the existence of a relationship of co-integration and long-run balance between the variables of green support and the value of agricultural domestic product. The results showed also that some of developing countries were not negatively affected by global green subsidy, these are: India, Indonesia, Turkey, Colombia, the Philippines, Ukraine and Vietnam. The adoption of agricultural subsidy programs by these countries, may be explain their success in minimizing the negative effects of global agricultural subsidy on their agricultural sectors. | ||
| Keywords | ||
| Agriculture Subsidy; Green Subsidy; Autoregressive Model; ARDL Model; Error Correction Model | ||
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