(1991). Analysis and Forecasting Infant Mortality Rate (IMR) In Egypt Until Year 2000. test, 25(2), 32-46. doi: 10.21608/mskas.1991.303600
. "Analysis and Forecasting Infant Mortality Rate (IMR) In Egypt Until Year 2000". test, 25, 2, 1991, 32-46. doi: 10.21608/mskas.1991.303600
(1991). 'Analysis and Forecasting Infant Mortality Rate (IMR) In Egypt Until Year 2000', test, 25(2), pp. 32-46. doi: 10.21608/mskas.1991.303600
Analysis and Forecasting Infant Mortality Rate (IMR) In Egypt Until Year 2000. test, 1991; 25(2): 32-46. doi: 10.21608/mskas.1991.303600

Analysis and Forecasting Infant Mortality Rate (IMR) In Egypt Until Year 2000

المجلة المصرية للسکان وتنظيم الأسرة
Volume 25, Issue 2, December 1991, Pages 32-46
Document Type: المقالة الأصلية
DOI: 10.21608/mskas.1991.303600
Abstract
TInfant Mortality Rate (IMR) is one of the most sensitive indicators to the level of socioeconomic development in the human society. Here, a class of autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models is used to analyze a time series of infant mortality rate. ARIMA (1,1,0) model is suggested and is proven to be more adequate especially with the natural logarithmic transformation of the original time series. Predicted values for infant mortality rate in Egypt for the time period 1983 - 2000 are derived.
Keywords
Infant Mortality Rate; ARIMA Models; Time Series; Egypt
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