A Stochastic Epidemic SIR Model of Swine Flu with Vaccination | ||
| The Egyptian Statistical Journal | ||
| Article 4, Volume 56, Issue 2, December 2012, Pages 96-101 PDF (3.83 M) | ||
| Document Type: Original Article | ||
| DOI: 10.21608/esju.2012.314339 | ||
| Author | ||
| Hassan S.M. | ||
| Faculty of Graduate Studies and Statistical Research, Cairo University | ||
| Abstract | ||
| A simple stochastic epidemic model is developed and investigated for the dynamics of swine flu. The distribution of the number of infected individuals is numerically derived. Some strategies of vaccination are studied to investigate the effectiveness of these strategies to outbreak of the epidemic. The results of numerical solution seem to agree with the historical pattern of swine flu in Egypt. | ||
| Keywords | ||
| Stochastic Model - Swine Flu; Epidemiology; Vaccination - Simulation | ||
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