PREDICTING THE BEHAVIOR OF THE MOST IMPORTANT ECONOMIC VARIABLES FOR CATTLE AND POULTRY FEED | ||
| Arab Universities Journal of Agricultural Sciences | ||
| Article 4, Volume 27, Issue 2, September and October 2019, Pages 1281-1289 PDF (587.93 K) | ||
| Document Type: Original Article | ||
| DOI: 10.21608/ajs.2019.59337 | ||
| Authors | ||
| Mahmoud Salah Salem1; Thanaa E.A. Seleem2; Eman F.A. Kadous2 | ||
| 1Dept of Economics, Fac. Agric., Ain Shams Univ. | ||
| 2Agric. Economics Dept., Fac. of Agric., Ain Shams Univ., P.O. Box 68, Hadayek Shobra11241, Cairo, Egypt | ||
| Abstract | ||
| The traditional feed industry is based on concentrated raw feed materials and may be rich in energy or protein. The feed is a homogeneous mix of raw feed materials with some mineral salts and may be supplemented by some food additives such as vitamins, antibiotics, urea, antioxidants etc. In a soft or treated with steam and molasses and pressed into cubes, cylinders, granules or other forms. In view of the State's attention to livestock, in addition to increasing the demand for animal products for higher living standards and increased awareness of food, the feed industry is expected to rise in the next few years. The problem of the study is limited to the impact of the agricultural production market in Egypt on many local and international economic variables, which causes fluctuations in the supply and demand of these products in the local market and foreign markets. Egypt suffers from a deficit in its trade balance of agricultural inputs. In this deficit, as well as the decrease in the amount of concentrated fodder, mainly maize and the quantity produced from processed fodder, which also depends mainly on maize, especially poultry feed, which forms yellow maize 75% of the ingredients and therefore. The burden on the trade balance increases, especially as the dollar rises. Therefore, the study aimed to identify the economic indicators of the processed animal feed and poultry in Egypt. The study is based on the use of descriptive statistical methods (statistical measures) and quantification of averages and percentages as well as the work of the model of the variables studied and forecasting. The current model consists of four equations. The first is the formula of local production of processed feeds. Processed, the third equation is the formula of imports of processed feeds, the fourth equation is processed feed exports. | ||
| Keywords | ||
| Processed Feeds; Animal Feed; Poultry feed; Simultaneous Model | ||
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