IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON IRRIGATION WATER REQUIREMENTS FOR SUGAR CANE PRODUCTION IN EGYPT | ||
| Misr Journal of Agricultural Engineering | ||
| Article 6, Volume 33, Issue 2, April 2016, Pages 395-414 PDF (783.42 K) | ||
| Document Type: Original Article | ||
| DOI: 10.21608/mjae.2016.97861 | ||
| Author | ||
| H. A. Radwan | ||
| Senior Res., Agricultural Engineering Research Institute, Agricultural Research Center, Dokki, -Egypt | ||
| Abstract | ||
| Global climate change should pose serious impacts on water resources and agriculture in the future. The aim of this research was to calculate water requirements for sugarcane grown in 7 governorates in Egypt under current climate and under ongoing climate change scenario up to 2100. The results indicated that water requirements for sugarcane will increase by 12 %–18% compared to the current water use depending on governorate location., where the applied irrigation amount is expected to increase in all governorates under climate change water requirements due to long growing season (365 days) of sugar cane, its water requirements under climate change conditions increased by 11–19%. This study investigates the projected changes in evapotranspiration and irrigation water demand for sugar cane crop Middle and Upper Egypt. The mean air temperature as statistically downscaled and compared with the current climate, defined as the period 1971–2000. FAO-56 Penman-Monteith equation was implemented to estimate ETo by using current climatic data. Evapotranspiration is estimated based on the predicted maximum and minimum air temperature using the RCPs scenarios (RCP2.6 – RCP4.5 – RCP6.0 and RCP8.5) during three time series (2011-2040, 2041-2070 and 2071-2100). The obtained results revealed that the mean air temperatures were increased under all RCPs scenarios compared to current data. Moreover, the RCP8.5 had the highest mean air temperature compared to the other RCPs scenarios. ETo significant increased in different tested time series compared to the current ETo values. The values of irrigation water demands in long term time series (2071-2100) were higher than short term (2011-2040) or mid-term (2041-2070) with respect to the current situation. *Senior Res., Agricultural Engineering Research Institute, Agricultural Research Center, Dokki, -Egypt The estimation of water requirements for sugar cane crops in different agro-climatic zone show that Upper Egypt region has the highest Cultivated area of sugar. Total water requirements (WR) for sugar cane during the growing seasons revealed that WR will increase under all scenarios in comparison with the current conditions. Total water budget in Middle and Upper Egypt. For sugar cane crop will increase under all scenarios compared with the current conditions and ranged from 4, to 4,56 billion cubic meters in or mid-term (2041-2070). Total water budget in Middle and Upper Egypt. For sugar cane crop will increase under all scenarios compared with the current conditions and ranged from 4,0 to 4,8 billion cubic meters in (2070-2100). This paper suggested a adaptation options for better water management for sugar cane crop Middle and Upper Egypt region, such as Gated pipe system consumed total water budget in Middle and Upper Egypt. For sugar cane crop will increase under all scenarios compared with the current conditions and ranged from 2.8 to 3.26 billion cubic meters in or mid-term (2041-2070) . Total water budget in Middle and Upper Egypt. For sugar cane crop will increase under all scenarios compared with the current conditions and ranged from 2.9 to 3.3 billion cubic meters in 2070-2100) compare with 4,0 billion cubic meters in flooding system now. | ||
| Keywords | ||
| Downscale climatic data; Maximum and minimum temperature; Penman; Montheith equation; RCPs scenarios | ||
| References | ||
|
AbouZeid, K.,( 2002). Egypt and the World Water Goals, Egypt statement in the world summit for sustainable development and beyond, Johannesburg
Allen R.G., Pereira L.S., Raes D. & Smith M., (1998). Crop evapotranspiration: Guidelines for computing crop requirements. Irrigation and Drainage Paper No. 56, FAO, Rome, Italy.
Bonnett GT, Hewitt ML, Glassop D (2006). Effects of high temperature on the growth and composition of sugarcane internodes. Australian J. Agric. Res. 57(10):1087-1095.
Challinor A, Wheeler T, Garforth C, Craufurd P, Kassam A (2007). Assessing the vulnerability of food crop systems in Africa to climate change. Climate Change 83:381-399.
Chandiposha M., (2013). Potential impact of climate change in sugarcane and mitigation strategies in Zimbabwe. Afr. J. Agric. Res. Vol. 8 (23): 2814-2818.
Clark, G., (2007). Evolution of the global sustainable consumption and production policy and the United Nations Environment Programme’s (UNEP) supporting activities. Journal of Cleaner Production 15, 492–498.
Eid, H. M.; EI-Marsafawy, S. M.; El-Tantawy, M. M.; Mesiha, W. 1. And Gad El- Rab, G. M., (2001). Estimation of Water Needs for Vegetable Crops in the New Lands, Meterologyical Research Bult, EMA, and 6:15 - 179.
El- Marsafawy, S. M. and Eid, H. M., (1999). Estimation of Water Consumption Use for Egyptian Crops. The 3rd Conf. of "On-farm Irrigation& Agroclimatology".
El-Raey, M.,( 1999), Impact of Climate Change of Egypt, Special report,EEMA, Egypt.
Fischer, G., F.N. Tubiello, H. van Velthuizen, and D.A. Wiberg.( 2007). “Climate change nimpacts on irrigation water requirements: Effects of mitigation, 1990-2080.” Technological Forecasting & Social Change 74: 1083-1107.
Hanafy M. , A. Mahrous and M. Z. El Garib.,( 2008) . WATER REQUIREMENTS FOR IRRIGATED SUGARCANE UNDER TRICKLE IRRIGATION SYSTEMS. Misr J. Ag. Eng., 25(4): 1343-1357.
Inman-Bamber, N.G. and McGlinchey, M.G. (2003). Crop coefficients and water-use estimates for sugarcane based on long-term Bowen ratio energy balance measurement field crop research83: 125-138
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 2013, Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. THE PHYSICAL SCIENCE BASIS . Contribution of Working Group I- TWELFTH SESSION- to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, pp. 15-29.
Knox JW, Rodríguez Díaz JA, Nixon DJ and Mkhwanazi M.,( 2010). A preliminary assessment of climate change impacts on sugarcane in Swaziland. Agricultural Systems 103(2): 63-72.
Krol, M.S.; Bronstert A.,( 2007). Regional integrated modelling of climate change impacts on natural resources and resource usage in semi-arid Northeast Brazil. Environ. Model. Softw., 22(2), 259-268.
Medany, M., ( 2001). The Impact of Climatic Change on Production of Differentultivars of Maize, Meteorological Research Bulletin, Egyptian Meteorological Authority, 16: 194-206.
Rasheed R, Wahid A, Farooq M, Hussain I and Basra S M A (2011). Role of proline and glycine betaine pretreatments in improving heat tolerance of sprouting sugarcane (Saccharum sp.) bud. Plant Growth Regul 65: 35–45.
Rosenzweig C, Jones JW, Hatfield JL, Ruane AC, Boote KJ, Thorburn P, Antle J, Nelson G, Porter C, Janssen S, Asseng S, Winter JM, Greeley AP, Basso B, Ewert F (2012) The Agricultural Model Intercomparison
Sanchez, P.; Swaminathan, M. S.; Dobie, P. and Yuksel, N.,( 2005).Halving Hunger: It Can Be Done, LJN Millennium Project, UNDP.
Scanlon, B.R.; Jolly, I.; Sophocleous, M.; Zhang, L. Global impacts of conversions from natural to agricultural ecosystems on water resources: Quantity versus quality. Water Resour. Res. 200743, doi:10.1029/2006WR005486.
Smith, M.; Allen. R. and Pereira. L., (1996). Proceeding of the International Conference of Evapotranspiration and Irrigation scheduling", American; Society of Agricultural Engineers, 3-6 November, Texas, USA.
Thornton PK, Jones PG, Alagarswamy G, Andresen J (2009). Spatial variation of crop yield response to climate change in East Africa. Glob Environ Chang 19(1):54–65
Tukker, A., Sto, E., Vezzoli, C., (2007). The governance and practice of change of sustainable consumption and production. Journal of Cleaner Production 16, 1143–1145
United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP2007). Global Environment Outlook: Environment for Development (GEO-4); United Nations Environment Programme: Valletta, Malta,.
USDA Soil Conservation Service (1993). Irrigation water requirements. National Engineering | ||
|
Statistics Article View: 298 PDF Download: 264 |
||
